Fresh off the 22/1 and 5/2 winners last weekend, Jones Knows has another big prize to tackle on Saturday when Man City host Southampton.
How did we do it the last time?
“Where do you want your statue, Jones Knows?” This is exactly what Gary Neville would have exploded if he commented on my punting weekend. My 22/1 winner of Liverpool, Manchester City and Chelsea to win without conceding was very Vincent Kompany-against-Leicester. Pure upper corner. And it was great. I hope Sky Bet has been widely punished for their generosity in offering the best price in the industry on the treble.
The icing on the cake was two wins from two bets as the 5/2 shot also landed when Joel Matip’s 88th-minute header was enough to officially count as a shot on goal. That, added to Wolves beating Watford on corner count, kept profit in an exciting direction. We are now at +23 points in the green for the season.
Remember that every Premier League game is previewed via my prediction columns. It’s a boat party over there.
Read on here for my main bet this weekend ….
P + L = +23
1pt on Ferran Torres to score a header for Manchester City vs Southampton (25/1 with Sky Bet – bet here!)
Instead of fumbling around trying to find bet value in outright match prices throughout the weekend, my eyes are firmly focused on Manchester City players in the various scorer markets for one main bet. One prize that jumps out at me is the 25/1 with Sky Bet on Ferran Torres’ goal with a header, which he has already done this season in the win against Arsenal. Pep Guardiola has started the Spaniard in all six matches in all competitions this season – he clearly likes the way he leads the line. And I like that too.
Although ripe for the improvement of this position, Torres has an instinct to step in where it hurts and should thrive in this central role with the amount of quality ammo coming from large areas. This is particularly relevant for this meeting, as Southampton are notoriously negligent in defending direct balls into their box. Since Ralph Hasenhuttl took over in 2018, the Saints have allowed 84 headshots on target – the third-highest of any Premier League side with 22 of those heads hitting the net. In what should be a one-sided encounter, Torres should give us a great run.