Our tipster Jones Knows thinks Leeds can start their march to survival, Norwich can win against Wolves and Man City’s game at West Ham will go crazy.
Tottenham vs Burnley, Sunday 12pm
Tottenham may have ignited their first four prospects on Thursday but it’s a tricky game for them. Burnley have the defensive skills to frustrate on a level that makes the 1/3 with Sky Bet on the home win very easy to oppose. I’m also not comfortable backing Spurs after a tight turnaround, suffering surprise defeats to Middlesbrough, Southampton and even Burnley despite having four days or less to prepare. I’m happy to draw lots.
Dwight McNeil remains an interesting player in the goalscoring market for Burnley.
He leads the fight for the club, performing perfectly on the right as he cuts in on his favorite left foot.
The 22-year-old has fallen down the pecking order under Sean Dyche after struggling with his form, but is back to his best and has just three games left to break his goalscoring duck for the season.
He has the quality to find the net. McNeil has taken more shots (47) and more shots on target (14) without scoring than any other Premier League player this season. That’s an insane stat for a player of his caliber. The 9/1 with Sky Bet is worth following for it to score.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1 | BETTING ANGLE: Dwight McNeil to score (9/1 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace, Sunday 2pm – PLAY THE SUPER 6 HERE!
Late season games where nothing of note is at stake should always pique the ears of punters who like to play the goal market.
A simple look at the basic data indicates that the goals-per-game average is increasing in May. Over the past five years, Premier League matches have averaged around 2.75 goals per game. In May, that average jumps to 3.05 as teams play with more freedom with the pressure chains released. That 3.1 average has held up so far in May of this season, so games like this should see the cop over the goal line for bettors.
And I’m happy to throw both teams to score to raise the price.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2 | BETTING ANGLE: Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals (6/5 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)
Leeds vs Brighton, Sunday 2pm – PLAY THE SUPER 6 HERE!
It may seem like a tough task on paper for Leeds against a Brighton side who have beaten Manchester United, Arsenal, Tottenham and Wolves in their last six matches. However, with so much on the line for Leeds and nothing for Brighton, a home win should be backed at 6/4 with Sky Bet.
Graham Potter continues to do a good job with limited resources at Brighton but his teams are unreliable playing against defensive teams who play to stifle the opposition. His teams are struggling to play against deep, tight defensive lines – something Jesse Marsch simply needs to do for this encounter.
For example, in games against Sean Dyche, Roy Hodgson, Nuno Espirito Santo, Bruno Lage, David Moyes, Sam Allardyce and Steven Gerrard – all managers who focus on organization and defensive structure – Potter’s record is P29 W4 D15 L10.
Leeds just have to win. And the Elland Road faithful can help them fight their relegation fight until the last day.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-0 | BETTING ANGLE: Leeds to win and under 2.5 goals (5/1 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)
Watford vs Leicester, Sunday 2pm – PLAY THE SUPER 6 HERE!
In an average campaign for Leicester, James Maddison shone brightly and showed why next season should be built around his skills playing the free role. His goal against Norwich in Wednesday’s 3-0 win was his 15th goal in all competitions and his eighth in the Premier League in his last 19 appearances.
Jamie Vardy’s power in front of goal remains strong, particularly against the weaker sides in the division, but the early goalscorer market is far too skewed in his direction with him just 7/2 with Sky Bet to shoot first. Maddison has proven himself to be Leicester’s most dangerous attacking weapon this year, so the 13/2 on him to score the opening goal seems a bit generous against a Watford side who will struggle to contain him.
SCORE PREDICTION: 0-2 | BETTING ANGLE: James Maddison to score first (13/2 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)
West Ham vs Manchester City, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
This Manchester City team is now probably the greatest Premier League team of all time, isn’t it?
What they are doing to top football teams right now is scary. Pep Guardiola’s side have become the first side in English top-flight history to win five consecutive league games by a margin of at least three goals, achieving the feat amid the pressured environment of a title race. This has seen them win their last five Premier League games by an aggregate score of 22-1. Expect to see the same level of offensive poetry this weekend as they nearly wrap up the title.
City will be challenged by this West Ham attack in what should be a ‘you attack, we attack’ type of game.
Guardiola’s side are roaring towards a Premier League title despite an injury crisis in their back four. Ruben Dias is out, Aymeric Laporte is almost certainly out and Fernandinho is doubtful. And the way Chiquinho gave Oleksandr Zinchenko – a good footballer, but not a natural defender – the run in the midweek win over Wolves certainly bodes well for Jarrod Bowen’s chances of having his say. to say in this game.
I expect West Ham to score but the 4/7 with Sky Bet for that to happen made me hunt elsewhere and Bowen’s goalscoring price is a beauty at 7/2. He is West Ham’s top scorer this season with 16 goals (10 in the Premier League), scoring seven goals in his last 13 Premier League starts since January 12 as his stock continues to rise.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-3 | BETTING ANGLE: Jarrod Bowen to score (7/2 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)
JONES KNOWS BEST BET: Bowen to score, have two shots and Zinchenko will be carded (66/1 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)
Wolves vs Norwich, Sunday 2pm – PLAY THE SUPER 6 HERE!
I wouldn’t go anywhere near Wolves at 2/5 with Sky Bet given their miserable end to a campaign that threatened to be memorable in February. Bruno Lage’s side have lost five of their last eight Premier League games at Molineux, including defeats to Leeds, Brighton and Crystal Palace. That doesn’t include a 1-0 loss to Norwich in the FA Cup in February.
The ease with which Brighton and Manchester City got through their failing back three should bode well even for a side like Norwich to find a way to score. It’s now been seven games without a clean sheet for Lage’s men whose mantra of being hard to beat is a thing of the past, conceding 16 goals in that span – no Premier League side have conceded more. A metric backed up by expected goals against which is the second worst in this period (16.0).
Norwich, who play with effort but little quality, are worth a swing at 13/2 with Sky Bet for the away win.
Such is the embarrassment of losing to the Canaries, two clubs decided to get rid of their manager in the aftermath as Burnley’s Sean Dyche and Rafael Benitez were sacked. I wouldn’t rule out the treble.
SCORE PREDICTION: 0-2 | BETTING ANGLE: Norwich win (13/2 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)
Everton vs Brentford, Sunday 4.30pm, live on Sky Sports – PLAY THE SUPER 6 HERE!
Everton’s survival in the Premier League will be confirmed if they win here and Leeds fail to win at home to Brighton. They will also be safe barring a mathematical miracle with a draw if Leeds lose.
Frank Lampard’s approach of keeping the back door closed and playing no-frills football works the oracle. In their last six Premier League games, Everton have conceded just four goals – an impressive feat considering the level of opposition has included Liverpool, Chelsea and Manchester United.
While a win is potentially enough to guarantee their survival, I don’t see Lampard changing that style of football without risk. Five of those last six games have fallen below 2.5 goals and the 4/5 with Sky Bet for that to happen again seems a solid bet.
I will go for a higher price though and like the look of the correct score 0-0 at halftime at 15/8 with Sky Bet. In their last 11 games combined, there have only been nine goals scored in the first half of games, with seven of those games coming at the break without a goal.
SCORE PREDICTION: 0-0 | BETTING ANGLE: Correct score at half time 0-0 (15/8 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)
Newcastle vs Arsenal, Monday 8pm, live on Sky Sports
The temptation was very great to row with Newcastle winning at 16/5 with Sky Bet as Arsenal will need to show a serious mentality to overcome on Thursday, but the Toon’s lack of motivation and record under Eddie Howe against the top five teams has tempered. my enthusiasm.
Howe has played the top five teams since taking over and lost all seven games by an aggregate score of 21-2. He improved Newcastle but they exceeded what their performance metrics showed. I’ll play it safe and draw the draw.
My eyes were drawn to Dan Burn for a potential betting angle.
If you eliminate meetings with Manchester City and Liverpool – two teams who give their opponents little set-piece opportunities – then Burn has had at least one shot in 10 of his 12 appearances for Newcastle. Howe isn’t afraid to go straight from wide free-kicks and Burn is still the one tasked with attacking first touch. This leads to good chances working their way inside the box, which equates to a figure of 0.91 goals expected. This makes him one of the most dangerous centre-backs in the opposition box.
10/11 with Sky Bet for it to have a shot is one of the best bets of the weekend.